ABSTRACT
Ding, Y.; Li, T., and Song, Y., 2019. System dynamics study on pathways to sharpen shipbuilding competitiveness in china. In: Hoang, A.T. and Aqeel Ashraf, M. (eds.), Research, Monitoring, and Engineering of Coastal, Port, and Marine Systems. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 97, pp. 42–54.
Based on the Porter's diamond model and the relative importance of various factors identified through GEM approach, we break down China's shipbuilding industry competitiveness system qualitatively into three subsystems: revealed, basic and leading competitiveness subsystems, define the boundaries of the industry competitiveness system, and build a system dynamics model for the industry competitiveness system. Using the Chinese shipbuilding industry statistical data in the period from 2012-2016 and the model which has passed validity tests, we conducted the Chinese shipbuilding industry variable simulations and predicted evolutional trends of shipbuilding industry until 2030. In addition, we also simulated change trends of the competitiveness system respectively in different policy scenarios to identify the most effective policy measures. Based on these simulation results, we concluded that the balanced development policy scheme is most conducive to competitiveness enhancement in China's shipbuilding industry, and put forward some effective policy recommendations.
