ABSTRACT

Yu, M., 2018. Mathematical modeling and analysis on the influence of maritime transport capability on bilateral trade. In: Liu, Z.L. and Mi, C. (eds.), Advances in Sustainable Port and Ocean Engineering. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 83, pp. 819–822. Coconut Creek (Florida), ISSN 0749-0208.

Maritime transport capacity promotes the development of bilateral trade. The traditional method for measuring maritime transport capacity and bilateral trade is based on vector data. But the analysis process of data vector is cumbersome, a large amount of data is needed for calculation. Because data vector is the directional vector calculation, analysis process only focuses on single analysis without considering overall measurement. According to the above problems, a method is put forward by using the VAR mathematical model to analyze the influence of maritime transport capacity on bilateral trade comprehensively. The VAR mathematical model is established, and VAR function is utilized to change the pulse variation. The optimal lag phase is chosen for relationship building, and characteristics of model is employed to analyze the influence of maritime transport capacity on bilateral trade. The experiment results show that the established VAR mathematical model can accurately analyze the influence of maritime transport capability on bilateral trade.

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