ABSTRACT

Wolski, T. and Wiśniewski, B., 2020. The probability of occurrence of extreme sea levels on coasts of the Baltic Sea In: Malvárez, G. and Navas, F. (eds.), Global Coastal Issues of 2020. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 95, pp. 1349-1354. Coconut Creek (Florida), ISSN 0749-0208.

The aim of the study is the analyze of the probability of occurrence of extreme water levels on the entire Baltic Sea coast on the basis from the period 1960-2010. The obtained results show that the height of the theoretical water at individual gauge stations depends on their location. The lowest theoretical water heights, are found on the Swedish coasts of Central Baltic and Gotland. However, the most extreme levels of theoretical water occur in the innermost parts of the bays: Gulf of Bothnia, Finland and Riga, as well in the Western Baltic. This distribution of theoretical water is in line with the geographical pattern of occurrence of extreme water levels of the Baltic Sea and consistent so-called the bay effect.

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